A study shows that Donald Trump’s lead in Florida, his home state, has shrunk, making it possible for Kamala Harris to win.
A poll released Thursday by the Napolitan News Service and performed by RMG Research, which tends to favour Republicans, shows that the former president is only two percentage points ahead of the vice president in Florida, where he owns his home at Mar-a-Lago.
There seemed to be a big difference in age between the people who answered the poll.
Harris had a big lead among young Floridians; 55% of those polled supported the Democratic candidate, while only 43% supported Trump.
Over half of people aged 65 and up (53%) said they supported Trump, while only 44% said they supported Harris. This shows that the former president has a big lead with older voters.
The poll also found that men and women had different opinions about the candidates.
Fourteen percent of women who answered supported Harris, while only seven percent supported Trump. Five thirds of men who answered backed Trump, while only forty-five percent supported Harris.
The biggest differences were seen in the race of the individuals. 77% of Black people who answered the study chose Harris over Trump, while 87% chose Harris over Trump.
Sixty percent of Hispanic voters chose the vice president, while only 37 percent chose Trump. Five-seven percent of white voters backed the former president, while only three percent backed Harris.
The small difference in the poll shows how much has changed in politics since Harris joined the race in late July.
Polling averages from FiveThirtyEight show that the GOP candidate was ahead in the state by almost nine percentage points when Biden dropped out. In a state that Trump won by 3.3 percentage points in 2020, Harris has helped close the gap.
In September, Jaime Harrison, the head of the Democratic National Committee, told reporters that he thinks Harris “has a shot” in Florida. You can not give up on Florida, I keep telling people. They will be shocked by what happens in the state on election night.
The poll was taken from September 25th to September 27th, just before Hurricane Helene hit and destroyed the state and its neighbours. It is not clear how the storm could have changed people’s minds.
Harris is going to North Carolina, which was also hit hard by the storm, to see how bad things are. Trump went there earlier this week. In that speech, he said that the government response included “lousy treatment to North Carolina in particular.”
A few days ago, the former president made a false post on Truth Social in which he said that the Biden-Harris administration and the state’s Democratic Governor Roy Cooper were “going out of their way to not help people in Republican areas.”
